Reciprocal Tariffs: How will US President Donald Trump’s proposed transfer influence India?

Reciprocal and retaliatory tariffs are imposed by nations to match hikes in duties or excessive tariffs by buying and selling companions.
US President Donald Trump has set in movement his plan to impose reciprocal tariffs on imports and has asserted that Washington is not going to spare India from reciprocal tariffs. The transfer is predicted to additional deepen the worldwide commerce struggle. However how a lot influence US’s reciprocal tariffs can have in India? Earlier than speaking about it, let’s perceive some frequent phrases.
What are reciprocal and retaliatory tariffs?
Usually, each can be utilized synonymously. They’re imposed by nations to match hikes in duties or excessive tariffs by buying and selling companions. For instance, when in 2018, the US imposed larger duties on sure metal and aluminium merchandise, India retaliated by elevating tariffs on 29 US merchandise, recovering equal income.
Why do nations impose tariffs?
These tariffs are imposed to make imported items costly and in flip, promote home manufacturing and job creation. It additionally protects home gamers from cheaper imports.
Why US President Donald Trump is speaking about imposing reciprocal tariffs?
The USA is going through large commerce imbalances with nations, particularly with China. With India, the US has a commerce deficit of USD 35.31 billion in items in 2023-24. To bridge this hole, the US President is imposing these duties.
How will influence reciprocal tariffs influence India?
In line with S&P World Rankings, India might be much less impacted by the proposed US reciprocal tariff because the nation’s economic system is especially pushed by home demand, and has substantial companies exports, which isn’t going to be focused by the Trump Administration.
S&P World Rankings, Economist Asia-Pacific, Vishrut Rana stated the reciprocal tariff will damage nations like Vietnam, South Korea, Taiwan extra as they’ve excessive commerce surplus with the US.
The Indian economic system has two mitigating components — higher reliance on home economic system and bigger companies commerce with the US, which isn’t more likely to be tariffed.
Nevertheless, textiles and to some extent chemical substances are most vulnerable to larger tariffs.
“If we have been to reimagine that state of affairs for the primary Trump administration to unfold once more, I feel total, the influence on India ought to be fairly minimal,” Phua added.
Earlier in 2018 underneath the Presidency of Donald Trump, Washington had imposed a further 25 per cent import responsibility on metal merchandise and 10 per cent on sure aluminium merchandise. In retaliation, India in June 2019, imposed further customs duties on 28 American merchandise.
Greater than 5 years after the preliminary tariffs have been imposed, on July 3, 2023, the US eliminated tariffs on metal and aluminium imports from India.
With PTI inputs