Bihar Politics: Why Nitish Kumar Has Turned Irreplaceable For BJP, RJD? | India Information

Bihar Politics: Why Nitish Kumar Has Turned Irreplaceable For BJP, RJD? | India Information

Bihar Chunav 2025: It was in 2005 when Nitish Kumar dethroned the Rashtriya Janata Dal-government to turn into Chief Minister of Bihar. Since then, Kumar has continued to stay on the high put up barring a short interval when Jitan Ram Manjhi was made the CM in 2014. Nevertheless, since then, Kumar has retained the highest put up regardless of switching sides between the BJP and the RJD. Kumar left the BJP twice to facet with the RJD between 2015-2017 and 2022-2024,

On each events, the BJP agreed to take him again and it even paid for the NDA within the 2020 meeting elections and 2024 Lok Sabha Polls. A detailed have a look at vote share present that Nitish Kumar continues to command a big maintain electorally, thus making him the kingmaker for each – the BJP and the RJD.

Within the 2005 Bihar meeting polls, Nitish Kumar’s JDU bought round 20% votes and 88 seats; in 2010, the JDU bought round 23% votes with 115 seats; in 2015 meeting polls, the JDU bought 71 seats with round 17% vote share and within the 2020 lok sabha polls, the JDU bought 15.39% votes with 43 seats, struggling a heavy injury as a consequence of LJP’s open marketing campaign towards it. With the LJP-RV again in NDA fold and agreeing to Nitish Kumar’s management, the JDU’s vote share is prone to recuperate this 12 months within the polls.

The BJP then again, has managed to maintain its vote share between 16-20 per cent. Then again, the RJD bought 23% in 2005, 19% in 2010, 19% in 2015 and 23% in 2020. Thus, the ballot dynamics exhibits a fractured mandate on the subject of vote share and particular person party-wise seats. On this state of affairs, it is Kumar’s JDU that holds the important thing to energy. 

This election, there’s one other contender who’s going to make the ballot fascinating. It is Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj. Kishor has labored with the BJP, JDU and Congress as a political analyst and is aware of the events very effectively. Jan Suraaj has accomplished effectively within the current meeting bypolls and it it manages to get round 10% votes, then it might alter the ballot dynamics. 

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