Emilia Pérez, Conclave and Anora anticipated to be shortlisted

The Bafta nominations will likely be introduced on Wednesday, the most recent milestone in an unpredictable awards season which has thrown up a number of surprises.

The British Academy’s shortlists are prone to be a powerful Oscars indicator. Final 12 months, the winners of the highest six classes matched up completely between the 2 ceremonies.

The nominations comply with final week’s Golden Globe Awards, which noticed Spanish-language musical Emilia Pérez take dwelling probably the most prizes, and Demi Moore enhance her probabilities in the very best actress race for physique horror The Substance.

The Bafta Movie Awards, hosted by David Tennant, will happen on 16 February at London’s Royal Pageant Corridor.

There’s at present no consensus on what’s going to finally win greatest image at this 12 months’s Oscars, which occur in Los Angeles on 2 March.

The Brutalist, Emilia Pérez, Anora, Conclave, Depraved and A Full Unknown have been tipped by completely different pundits for the highest prize. All at present have a possible path to victory.

Bafta’s shortlists come every week after the Display Actors Guild (SAG) nominations, which noticed a powerful exhibiting for Depraved and a shock nod for Pamela Anderson for her function as an ageing Las Vegas performer in The Final Showgirl.

The British Academy’s longlists, from which the nominees will likely be chosen, have been introduced earlier this month.

They included most of this 12 months’s frontrunners however with a couple of notable omissions, similar to Angelina Jolie and Golden Globe winner Fernanda Torres. Paddington in Peru additionally didn’t make the brand new kids’s and household movie class.

However the truth the longlists have already been launched does not imply there will not be surprises when the ultimate nominations are introduced.

Emilia Pérez, a Spanish-language musical a few Mexican cartel chief who leaves the world of crime to reside a brand new reside as a trans lady, is the frontrunner at Bafta after scoring probably the most longlist mentions.

It was intently adopted by Conclave, a few gossipy and scheming group of cardinals who collect in Rome to elect a brand new Pope, and A Full Unknown, which follows Bob Dylan’s rise to fame within the Nineteen Sixties.

The Brutalist, a few Hungarian architect who’s employed by a rich American after World Struggle Two, and The Substance, which sees a girl take a black-market drug to create a youthful and extra lovely model of herself, additionally featured closely within the longlists.

They have been joined by blockbusters Depraved, the origin story of Elphaba from The Wizard of Oz, and the sandy sci-fi sequel Dune: Half Two.

Anora, which follows the whirlwind romance of a younger couple who meet in a strip membership, and Gladiator II, concerning the grandson of Rome’s former emperor being compelled into slavery, additionally chalked up a number of appearances on the longlists.

There are six nomination slots out there in each performing class on the Baftas, yet one more than the Oscars, which implies there’s further room for some enjoyable surprises.

Frontrunners in the very best actress race who’ve a powerful probability at Bafta embrace Demi Moore (The Substance) for her function as a TV aerobics teacher whose relevance is fading, and Karla Sofía Gascón (Emilia Pérez) for enjoying a newly transitioned lady who was a drug baron.

The opposite dead-certs are Cynthia Erivo (Depraved) for her function as Elphaba, the Depraved Witch of the West, and Mikey Madison (Anora), for enjoying a New York stripper who falls for the son of a rich Russian.

However there’s nonetheless an opportunity of a nomination for longlisters similar to Marianne Jean-Baptiste (Laborious Truths), for her efficiency as an irritable lady scuffling with melancholy, and Saoirse Ronan (The Outrun) for enjoying a younger alcoholic who returns to Scotland.

Kate Winslet (Lee) might additionally make it into the class for her function as journalist Lee Miller, as might Amy Adams (Nightbitch) and Nicole Kidman (Babygirl). A nomination for Marisa Abela, for Amy Winehouse biopic Again to Black, can be a specific shock.

In the meantime, the very best actor class is extensively seen as pretty locked down by contenders similar to Adrien Brody (The Brutalist) for his function as an architect from Budapest constructing a brand new life within the US, and Timothée Chalamet (A Full Unknown) for his portrayal of a younger Bob Dylan and the battle between his love of people music and rock’n’roll.

Colman Domingo (Sing Sing), may very well be recognised for enjoying a jail inmate who enrols in a performing arts programme, whereas Sebastian Stan (The Apprentice) could also be nominated for portraying Donald Trump in his early years as an actual property tycoon.

British frontrunners embrace Daniel Craig (Queer), who performs a homosexual man who ventures into the jungle in quest of a plant with telepathic qualities, and Ralph Fiennes (Conclave), for his function as a cardinal who oversees the race to elect a brand new Pope.

However do not wager towards Bafta additionally getting behind one or two outsiders similar to Hugh Grant (Heretic), Dev Patel (Monkey Man), Kingsley Ben Adir (Bob Marley: One Love) and Jude Regulation (Firebrand). All are British, and if any of them have been going to spring a shock nomination, the Baftas can be the place it could occur.

The supporting classes, in the meantime, are prone to function frontrunners similar to Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez), Ariana Grande (Depraved), Kieran Culkin (A Actual Ache) and Yura Borisov (Anora).

However a specific focus of the supporting actor race is whether or not Denzel Washington (Gladiator II) will likely be nominated. Regardless of a decades-long profession and 9 Oscar nods for performing (together with two wins), Washington has by no means been nominated for a Bafta.

A couple of years in the past, Bafta altered the voting system in a few of its main classes in an effort to extend variety.

It got here after no ethnic minority actors have been nominated in 2020, with one white actress, Margot Robbie, even being nominated twice for 2 completely different motion pictures.

The jury system launched the next 12 months meant members’ votes solely decided two of the six slots within the performing classes, whereas juries determined the opposite 4.

The 2021 shortlists have been definitely extra numerous in consequence, however they have been additionally wildly out of step with the remainder of awards season (though the eventual winners broadly matched up with the Oscars).

Bafta saved utilizing the jury system over the next years, though the variety of locations decided by juries diminished to a few.

This 12 months, nevertheless, issues have modified.

Though juries helped compile this 12 months’s longlists, the ultimate nominations for a lot of the main classes such because the performing prizes at the moment are fully decided by Bafta members.

In consequence, the nominations usually tend to resemble these of different ceremonies, with fewer outliers making the shortlists than lately.

The Bafta nominations will likely be introduced by Mia McKenna Bruce and Will Sharpe from Bafta’s headquarters in central London at 12:00 GMT.

Learn extra about this 12 months’s nominated movies: