Runcorn and Helsby: All it’s worthwhile to know on key by-election

Runcorn and Helsby: All it’s worthwhile to know on key by-election

EPA A drone view of Runcorn, showing housing estates in the foreground and the Silvewr Jubilee Bridge over the River MerseyEPA

Polls have closed within the Westminster by-election in Runcorn and Helsby on the identical day as native elections in components of England.

The by-election was triggered by the resignation of Mike Amesbury, who was convicted earlier this 12 months of assaulting a constituent.

What is the background?

On 27 February, Amesbury was given a 10-week jail sentence and brought straight to HMP Altcourse in Liverpool.

After three nights behind bars, a decide agreed to droop Amesbury’s jail time period for 2 years.

Beneath concerted strain to stop the Home of Commons, Amesbury – who misplaced the Labour whip after he was arrested final autumn and has since been sitting as an impartial MP – agreed to face down.

What’s the make-up of Runcorn and Helsby?

Runcorn and Helsby is a brand new constituency that was solely created in time for the overall election in July 2024.

Greater than half of it (51.2%) got here from the previous constituency of Weaver Vale, with 37.1% from Halton and the rest from three different former constituencies – Ellesmere Port and Neston, Eddisbury, and Metropolis of Chester.

Runcorn and Helsby contains the cities of Runcorn, Frodsham and Helsby, in addition to numerous villages and a big rural space.

In complete, 22% of the constituency is classed as a built-up space, 60% rural and 14% as water or wetland.

It has a inhabitants of 93,520, with 21% of residents underneath 18, 57% aged 18-64 and 21% over 65.

What’s the electoral historical past of the constituency?

Runcorn and Helsby is a brand new constituency that was solely created in time for the overall election in July 2024.

Greater than half of it (51.2%) got here from the previous constituency of Weaver Vale, with 37.1% from Halton and the rest from three different former constituencies – Ellesmere Port and Neston, Eddisbury, and Metropolis of Chester.

On the 2024 common election, Amesbury gained Runcorn and Helsby for Labour with 52.9% of the vote, a majority of 14,696.

Reform UK got here second with 18% of the vote, forward of the Conservatives on 16%, the Inexperienced Occasion with 6.4%, and the Liberal Democrats with 5.1%.

Two smaller events acquired 1.4% between them.

Amesbury was the Labour MP for Weaver Vale from June 2017 till the seat was abolished earlier than the overall election.

He gained the seat from Conservative Graham Evans, who had been the constituency’s MP since 2010.

In the meantime, from its creation in 1983, Halton was all the time held by Labour.

Derek Twigg – who’s now the MP for Widnes and Halewood – held it from 1997.

Why is that this by-election so vital?

This can be Sir Keir Starmer’s first by-election as prime minister.

Loads has occurred within the 9 months since Labour swept to energy, with a number of tax rises introduced within the Funds, and ongoing negotiations with President Trump about world commerce and the struggle in Ukraine.

College of Liverpool Professor Jon Tonge not too long ago advised BBC Politics North West that, as one of many most secure Labour seats within the nation, it could be “fairly some feat” if one other social gathering have been to take Runcorn and Helsby.

If latest opinion polls are something to go by, although, Reform UK could be assured heading into the by-election, not least as a result of they got here second there in July.

The Conservatives can be hoping for indicators of a restoration too. They got here third in Runcorn and Helsby final time round, they usually weren’t far behind Reform.

There’s a lot at stake for everybody.

Who’re the candidates?

A complete of 15 candidates are standing within the by-election.

Listed alphabetically, they’re as follows:

  • Catherine Anne Blaiklock (English Democrats)
  • Dan Clarke (Liberal Occasion)
  • Chris Copeman (Inexperienced Occasion)
  • Paul Duffy (Liberal Democrats)
  • Peter Ford (Employees Occasion)
  • Howling Laud Hope (Monster Raving Loony Occasion)
  • Sean Houlston (Conservatives)
  • Jason Philip Hughes (Volt UK)
  • Alan McKie (impartial)
  • Graham Harry Moore (English Structure Occasion)
  • Paul Andrew Murphy (Social Democratic Occasion)
  • Sarah Pochin (Reform)
  • Karen Shore (Labour)
  • John Stevens (Rejoin EU)
  • Michael Williams (impartial)

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