Who Voted For BJP, What Clicked For The Occasion? Deep Dive Into Delhi Knowledge – News18
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Sources mentioned caste dynamics in addition to the Congress efficiency in a minimum of 14 seats, the place it hacked into the AAP’s vote share, may very well be among the causes behind the BJP’s historic win within the Delhi meeting polls
PM Narendra Modi greets supporters upon his arrival at BJP headquarters, on the day of counting of votes for Delhi meeting elections, in New Delhi on February 8. (Picture: @NarendraModi/Youtube/PTI)
The BJP swept to energy within the nationwide capital after a spot of 27 years, trouncing the formidable problem from the AAP, because the outcomes of the Delhi meeting elections had been declared on Saturday. The saffron social gathering gained 48 out of 70 seats, whereas Arvind Kejriwal’s social gathering was lowered to 22 seats.
Parvesh Sahib Singh Verma emerged as the enormous killer as he defeated Kejriwal from the New Delhi meeting constituency, whereas different massive names like Manish Sisodia, Saurabh Bharadwaj, and Satyendar Jain additionally fell to the BJP blitzkrieg.
The BJP misplaced energy in 1998 to the Congress, which couldn’t open its account for the third straight election regardless of having dominated for 3 phrases earlier than the AAP authorities took over.
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However, what are the explanations behind BJP’s return to energy with such a powerful mandate? Was it a hyper-localised marketing campaign concentrating on the AAP’s loyal base or was it Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s ‘AAP-da’ slogan that ended his social gathering’s lengthy drought?
This time, the BJP’s vote share jumped to just about 46 per cent, whereas the AAP’s fell to 43.5 per cent. The BJP’s vote share grew from over 32 per cent in 2015 to 38.5 per cent in 2020 towards the AAP’s over 54 per cent and 53.5 per cent, respectively.
Based on sources, caste dynamics in addition to the efficiency of the Congress in a minimum of 14 seats, the place it hacked into the AAP’s vote share, may very well be a number of of the explanations behind the BJP’s historic win.
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Let’s have a look:
CATEGORY-BASED ANALYSIS
- Out of 12 candidates within the scheduled caste (SC) class, 4 have gained
- Out of twenty-two candidates within the different backward lessons (OBC) class, 16 have gained
- There are seven seats with greater than 10 per cent OBC inhabitants. The BJP gained all of them.
CASTE-BASED ANALYSIS BY POPULATION/VOTERS
- Out of 4 seats with greater than 10 per cent Sikh voters, the BJP gained three
- Out of 28 seats with greater than 10 per cent Punjabis, the BJP gained 23
- Out of 5 seats with greater than 10 per cent Gujjar voters, the BJP gained two
- Out of 13 seats with over 10 per cent Jat voters, the BJP gained 11
- Out of 9 seats with greater than 10 per cent Valmiki voters, the BJP gained 4
- Out of 12 seats with greater than 10 per cent Jatav voters, the BJP gained six.
DOMICILE ANALYSIS
- Out of six Purvanchali BJP candidates, 4 gained
- Out of 14 Haryanvi candidates, 12 gained
- Out of three Uttarakhandi candidates, two gained
- Out of 35 seats with greater than 15 per cent Purvanchali voters, the BJP gained 25 seats
- Out of 13 seats with greater than 5 per cent Haryanvi voters, the BJP gained 12.
ANALYSIS OF BORDER CONSTITUENCIES
- Out of a complete of twenty-two meeting seats that share a border with neighbouring states – Haryana and Uttar Pradesh – the BJP gained 15
- There are 13 seats that border Uttar Pradesh. Out of those, the BJP gained seven
- There are 11 seats that border Haryana, of which the BJP gained 9.
HABITATION-BASED ANALYSIS
Out of seven jhuggi-jhopdi seats, the BJP gained 4. These are Timarpur, Badli, New Delhi, and RK Puram.
CONGRESS PERFORMANCE MADE A DIFFERENCE?
- There are three seats the place the Congress will not be among the many high three. These are Mehrauli, Okhla and Mustafabad
- There are 14 seats within the state the place the Congress spoiled the social gathering for the AAP. These embrace Timarpur, Badli, Nangloi Jat, Madipur, Rajender Nagar, New Delhi, Jangpura, Kasturba Nagar, Malviya Nagar, Mehrauli, Chhatarpur, Sangam Vihar, Better Kailash, and Trilokpuri.
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WHAT ARE THE OTHER FACTORS THAT WORKED?
- A targeted marketing campaign that includes leaders from throughout the nation – chief ministers, Union ministers and NDA constituents reached out to particular regional teams within the nationwide capital
- Freebies provided by the AAP had been countered by “Modi’s assure”, which appeared to search out favour with voters
- Substantial floor work by RSS and like-minded organisations
- Wooing the center class with bulletins of revenue tax reduction within the Union Price range
- The BJP ran a localised marketing campaign highlighting civic points comparable to lack of roads, irregular water provide, air air pollution, and non-functional mohalla clinics.
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Aside from the BJP’s typical all-hands-on-deck method, which strengthened the voice for change in Delhi on the bottom, corruption fees towards AAP leaders, together with jail journeys for Kejriwal and Sisodia, in addition to the alleged ‘Sheeshmahal’ scandal sealed the social gathering’s destiny. ‘Model Kejriwal’, which was primarily based on the guarantees of corrupt-free governance and a perception in an austere way of life, suffered a speedy deterioration. Allegations of the liquor rip-off additionally appeared to stay, in the end backfiring for the social gathering based on the again of the India Towards Corruption motion.
