Will Kejriwal Lose From New Delhi? Axis My India Chief Predicts BJP Most Widespread Celebration In This Seat – News18
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If the BJP certainly proves to be the most well-liked social gathering within the New Delhi meeting constituency, AAP chief Arvind Kejriwal’s loss can be an enormous upset and paying homage to the one attributable to him in 2013
AAP chief and former Delhi CM Arvind Kejriwal has received the New Delhi meeting constituency thrice earlier than. (Picture: PTI)
Axis My India chairman Pradeep Gupta on Thursday predicted that the BJP was the most well-liked social gathering within the New Delhi meeting constituency, the place AAP nationwide convener Arvind Kejriwal is pitted towards the BJP’s Parvesh Verma and Sandeep Dikshit of the Congress.
The pollster has predicted 50 seats for the BJP within the Delhi meeting elections with a vote share of 48 per cent, whereas the AAP could win solely 20 seats with a vote share of 42 per cent.
Gupta advised CNN-News18’s managing editor Zakka Jacob that his company doesn’t do a seat-by-seat projection, however does reveal which social gathering is the most well-liked in a specific constituency.
If the BJP certainly proves to be the most well-liked within the New Delhi meeting seat, Kejriwal’s loss may very well be a chance after having received the seat thrice earlier than. It may be an ironic repeat of 2013 when he had precipitated an enormous upset by defeating former chief minister Sheila Dikshit from right here.
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OTHER BIG CONTESTS
Gupta predicted that the Aam Aadmi Celebration (AAP) stays the most well-liked within the Kalkaji, Babarpur and Better Kailash meeting constituencies, whereas the BJP loved the identical standing in Jangpura.
“Each the AAP and BJP are standard in Kalkaji the place Chief Minister Atishi is combating from, however the AAP has a slight edge. In Jangpura, the BJP has a slight edge over the AAP, the place Manish Sisodia is contesting. In Better Kailash, the AAP has a slight edge over the BJP, however it isn’t absolutely secured for the social gathering – Saurabh Bharadwaj is contesting from right here. Babarpur is safe for the AAP the place Gopal Rai is contesting,” he mentioned.
This might imply that huge AAP names like Kejriwal and Sisodia could lose the election. They have been beforehand CM and deputy within the AAP authorities and needed to go to jail within the alleged excise rip-off.
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CASTE-WISE PREDICTIONS
At present’s Chanakya has additionally predicted 51 seats for the BJP and solely 19 for the AAP. Each Axis My India and At present’s Chanakya projected that 69 to 74 per cent Muslim vote stay with the AAP. So, there may be hardly any cut up on this class with the Congress making minimal influence.
However, the pollsters are predicting a significant cut up within the scheduled caste (SC) vote. At present’s Chanakya predicted 47 per cent SC vote to the BJP and 44 per cent to the AAP. Axis has projected 51 per cent SC vote to the AAP and 39 per cent to the BJP. This cut up, which is principally within the jhuggis and clusters of Delhi, may very well be a game-changer if the BJP wins.
